Political assumptions

The Himalayan Times

7 January 2021

Political assumptions

I am still wondering what could be the political situation in the country if PM Oli had not dissolved the HoR. Why he was cornered by his fellow senior comrades after he managed to get HoR endorsement for claiming over Nepal’s Lipulek and Limpiyadhura illegally being encroached by the southern neighbour and publishing new map seemed to be nothing but an excuse for his rival comrades to go after him. After his bold move of HoR dissolution “Oli was forced to dissolve HoR: DPM” (THT, Jan 5, Page 4), Dahal-Madhav faction seemed to be desperate and frustrated for not being able to materialize their hidden agenda.

Following are my assumptions on what would happen if PM Oli had not dissolved the HoR based on the growing political feud in the ruling party for the last 9 months. 1. NCP would take disciplinary action upon Oli. 2. Oli would be relieved from the positions of both PM and NCP Chairperson. 3. Prachanda would be nominated to replace Oli as the NCP leader at the HoR. 4.Prachanda would be appointed as the next Prime Minister. 5. Madhav Nepal would take over the executive chair of the Party. 6. President Bhandari would be impeached by blaming her for unconstitutional acts. 7. Vice President Pun would be the acting President. 8. Agni Sapkota would continue to be the HoR Speaker. 9. Constitution would be amended in line with Prachanda’s hidden political agenda of absolute Janabad. 10. All the government machinery including Nepal Army and security forces would be under his control 11.Nepali people would be compelled to follow an authoritarian rule for another two decades or more. I am eagerly waiting to hear the Supreme Court’s verdict on the PM Oli’s decision of the HoR dissolution.

Rai Biren Bangdel

Maharajgunj

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